Risk disclosure

Last updated: July 30, 2026

Not financial advice

Mispria is a data-analytics and educational tool. Nothing on this site or in the extension is investment advice, a recommendation, or a trading signal. We display statistics about markets; what you do with them is entirely your decision and your responsibility.

All published trades are simulated

Every trade on /performance is paper trading: simulated purchases at the order book's real ask price, with no real orders and no real money. Real execution would face additional frictions — slippage, latency, liquidity, fees — that can only make results worse than the simulation.

Past performance means nothing about the future

Our confidence intervals tell you how noisy the past was; they say nothing certain about tomorrow. Any edge can decay as markets adapt. A few good nights — even a few good weeks — can be luck. We publish losing nights precisely so you can see this.

Prediction markets are restricted in many places

Binary prediction markets are regulated or prohibited in several jurisdictions. In France, Polymarket is blocked by the ANJ (national gambling authority). It is your responsibility to know and follow the laws that apply to you. Mispria analyzes public market data; it does not provide access to any market.

Crypto volatility

Crypto assets are extremely volatile. Short-horizon binary markets amplify that volatility: positions can go to zero in minutes. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose — and remember that this site will never tell you to risk any.

18+

The service is strictly reserved for adults (18 years or older).